Serie A
dom, 13 sept 2026
Reggio Emilia


Sassuolo vs Juventus | 59% Win Chance · Prediction & Odds
Match Preview
Sassuolo hosts Juventus at MAPEI Stadium on 13 September 2026, with Juventus sitting 4th in Serie A, trailing the top three by a narrow margin, while Sassuolo occupies 11th place, about seven points shy of European qualification spots. Juventus arrives on the back of three consecutive wins, including a 2-0 victory over Parma, showing a strong upward trend with 10 points from their last five matches. Sassuolo's recent form is more mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, notably a 2-1 win over Torino and a 1-1 draw against Frosinone.
At home, Sassuolo has been competitive but inconsistent, scoring 5 goals in their last 4 home games while conceding 7, highlighting some defensive vulnerability. Juventus, led by striker Di Maria who has netted 4 goals this season, boasts a solid attack averaging 1.8 goals per game but has shown some defensive lapses away from home, conceding 6 goals in their last 4 away matches. Juventus’ historical dominance is clear with 17 wins in 25 meetings against Sassuolo.
Juventus’ defensive fragility on the road and Sassuolo’s ability to score at home sets the stage for a potentially open game. Juventus holds the edge due to consistent form and superior squad quality, but Sassuolo’s resilience and home advantage suggest a competitive match. The odds favor Juventus with a 59% implied win probability, but expect goals from both sides given their recent scoring records.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | W D L W L | 7 | 7 |
| Juventus | W W W D L | 9 | 6 |
Sassuolo shows a balanced goal difference but has struggled to maintain consistency, with defensive lapses costing points. Juventus’ attack is sharper, but their defense has been breached more than once on the road, which could be exploited by Sassuolo’s pacey forwards.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.65 |
Value leans toward Juventus at 1.65, but given Sassuolo’s home form and Juventus’ defensive vulnerability away, betting markets also offer potential in goals and both teams scoring.
Nuestro pronóstico
Juventus is favoured due to form and historical edge, but Sassuolo’s home scoring and Juventus’ away defensive issues point to a competitive, goal-filled game with both teams likely to score.
Best Bet
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.85) — Both sides have scored in 4 of Sassuolo’s last 5 home matches and Juventus’ away defense has conceded 6 goals in their last 4 away games.
- Draw No Bet: Away (≈1.70) — Juventus’ recent run of 3 straight wins and historical dominance against Sassuolo provides a safety net if the game ends level.
- Over 2.5 goals (≈2.30) — Recent matches involving these teams have been high-scoring, with Sassuolo netting 7 in their last 5 and Juventus averaging nearly 2 goals per game.
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Estrategia de apuesta
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