Lecce vs Monza | Prediction & 76% Win Chance | Injuries

Match Preview

Lecce hosts Monza on 13 September 2026 in a Serie A fixture with contrasting recent forms. Lecce have secured three wins in their last five matches but also suffered two losses, including a heavy 0-4 defeat to Roma. Their home form shows promise, scoring 9 goals in the last 4 home games, but defensive lapses remain a concern. Midfielder Strefezza is a key creative outlet for Lecce, contributing decisively in attack.

Monza’s recent results are inconsistent, with just two wins in five outings and three losses, including a fragile defensive record away from home, having conceded at least 9 goals in their last 4 away matches. Crucially, Monza will be missing key attackers Pessina, Ciurria, and Zeballos due to injury, which severely limits their offensive threat.

Both sides have vulnerabilities, but Lecce’s stronger home scoring rate and Monza’s injury-hit attack tilt the balance. Lecce’s defensive frailties could be exploited, but Monza’s depleted frontline reduces their goal-scoring potential. The edge lies with Lecce, who carry a 45% win probability in models, supported by their home advantage and Monza’s injury woes.

Team Form

Lecce’s recent wins demonstrate their ability to capitalize at home, but their two losses highlight defensive vulnerabilities. They have averaged just under 2 goals per game at home recently.

Monza’s defense is porous, conceding 12 goals in the last five matches, particularly struggling on the road. The absence of Pessina, Ciurria, and Zeballos will blunt their attacking edge.