Villarreal vs Celta Vigo | Prediction & 62% Win Chance ·

Match Preview

Villarreal host Celta Vigo at Estadio de la Cerámica on April 26, 2026, with European qualification stakes influencing both sides. Villarreal sit four points above the relegation zone but are keen to solidify their La Liga status. Their recent form shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last five matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 5. Home form remains a relative strength with 1.4 goals per game at Estadio de la Cerámica.

Celta Vigo trail Villarreal by six points but are pushing for a top-six surprise. Their away record is less convincing: just one clean sheet in the last seven away fixtures and conceding 9 goals in their last four matches overall. Iago Aspas continues to be their key attacking outlet, contributing 8 goals this season, but the defense’s vulnerability could be exposed again.

Villarreal’s defense has shown some lapses, conceding 9 in their last 4 games, but Celta’s away struggles and defensive inconsistency give the hosts a slight edge. Given Villarreal’s marginally better recent form and home advantage, the prediction leans towards a narrow home win, with about a 55% implied probability favoring Villarreal.

Team Form

Villarreal’s recent unbeaten streak at home contrasts with Celta’s patchy away results, highlighting the visitors’ defensive fragility. However, Celta’s ability to score on the road, led by Aspas, keeps this competitive.