26 April 2026
Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona, La Liga


Osasuna vs Sevilla Prediction | 55% Win Chance · Lineups
Match Preview
Osasuna hosts Sevilla on April 26, 2026, with both sides navigating contrasting league trajectories. Osasuna sits four points above the relegation zone, having collected 7 points from their last 5 matches (2W-1D-2L). Their home form is notably stronger, averaging 1.3 goals per game at El Sadar and conceding just 0.8 in those fixtures.
Sevilla, meanwhile, struggles on the road with only one clean sheet in their last seven away games and a leaky defense that has conceded 9 goals in the last 4 matches overall. Despite sitting comfortably in mid-table, their recent form is patchy (1W-1D-3L in last 5), hampered by a lack of offensive consistency—top scorer En-Nesyri has failed to find the net in three consecutive league games.
Head-to-head trends show a slight edge to Sevilla historically, but recent defensive frailties and Osasuna’s home resilience tilt the balance. Injury news is minimal, with both squads near full strength, keeping tactical flexibility intact.
The edge goes to Osasuna due to their superior home defensive record and Sevilla’s recent away defensive lapses, making the hosts slight favorites in a game likely to feature tight margins and cautious approaches.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | W D L W L | 6 | 5 |
| Sevilla | L W L D L | 4 | 9 |
Osasuna’s recent wins highlight their ability to capitalize at home, especially defensively. Sevilla’s inconsistency and 9 goals conceded in 5 matches underline defensive vulnerabilities that Osasuna can exploit.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.85 |
Odds suggest a closely matched game with slight favor to Osasuna at home; value exists in defensive and under-goal markets given Sevilla’s recent struggles.
Our Prediction
Osasuna’s home defensive strength and Sevilla’s away goal drought favor a tight, low-scoring game with Osasuna slightly favored not to lose.
Best Bet
- Under 2.5 total goals (≈1.55) — Both teams have struggled to score recently, and Sevilla’s defensive frailties are offset by Osasuna’s conservative home approach, making a low-scoring game likely.
- Osasuna Double Chance (1X) (≈1.70) — Osasuna’s home resilience and Sevilla’s poor away form suggest the hosts will avoid defeat, providing a safer betting angle.
- Both teams to score: No (≈2.20) — With Sevilla’s offense cold and Osasuna’s defense holding firm at home, at least one side is likely to keep a clean sheet.
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