26 April 2026
MHPArena, Stuttgart, Bundesliga


VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen | 62% Win Chance · Best Bet
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart hosts Werder Bremen aiming to consolidate their top-four Bundesliga position on April 26, 2026. Stuttgart sit four points clear of the European qualification zone’s edge and have collected 10 points from their last five matches (W3 D1 L1), scoring 9 goals in that span. Their home form is solid, with 1.6 goals per game at home this season and three clean sheets in the last seven home fixtures.
Werder Bremen continue to struggle near the relegation zone, managing just 3 points from their last five Bundesliga games (W0 D3 L2). They have conceded 9 goals in their last four matches and have only one clean sheet in their last seven away games, averaging 2.1 goals conceded per away match this season. Offensively, Bremen rely heavily on striker Füllkrug, who has netted 9 league goals but has been quiet recently, failing to score in the last three outings.
Defensively, Bremen’s vulnerability on the road is a critical weakness here, while Stuttgart’s attack is efficient and consistent at home. Head-to-head trends favor Stuttgart with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings. Given the data, Stuttgart hold the edge due to superior form, home strength, and Bremen’s defensive frailties. Stuttgart’s implied win probability is around 60%, with a draw at 25% and Bremen under 20%.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | W W D L W | 9 | 5 |
| Werder Bremen | D L D L D | 4 | 11 |
Stuttgart’s recent results show a clear upward trend, especially at home where they have been more clinical. Bremen’s inability to convert draws into wins combined with a leaky defense has left them vulnerable in the relegation fight.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | 3.90 | 5.20 |
Value lies with Stuttgart to win at around 1.65, reflecting their home form and Bremen’s defensive struggles on the road.
Our Prediction
Stuttgart favored due to solid home form and Bremen’s defensive lapses; expect a home win with limited Bremen scoring chances.
Best Bet
- Home Double Chance (1X) (≈1.30) — Stuttgart’s home advantage and Bremen’s poor away form provide a safety net while avoiding the risk of an unlikely Bremen upset.
- Both teams to score: No (≈2.10) — Bremen have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 matches and face a solid Stuttgart defense, making a clean sheet for the hosts a strong possibility.
- Home team total goals Over 1.5 (≈2.70) — Stuttgart’s consistent home scoring rate (1.6 per game) and Bremen’s defensive weakness suggest the hosts will score at least twice.
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Bet Strategy
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