Udinese vs Parma Prediction | 62% Home Win | Best Bet & Odds

Match Preview

Udinese hosts Parma on April 18, 2026, in a Serie A fixture where both sides are navigating mid-table tension with limited margin for error. Udinese currently sits four points above the relegation zone, having collected 7 points from their last 5 matches (2W, 1D, 2L). Their home form shows some resilience, scoring 8 goals in 5 games but conceding 7, pointing to defensive vulnerabilities.

Parma arrive with a slightly worse away record, having secured just 3 points in their last 5 away matches (0W, 3D, 2L). They have scored 5 goals in those games but conceded 9, highlighting defensive fragility on the road. Striker Gervinho remains Parma’s top threat, contributing 11 goals this season and crucial to their attacking output.

Udinese’s defensive leak is notable—they have conceded 9 goals in their last 4 league matches, a trend that Parma could exploit. Meanwhile, Parma’s inability to close out games away from home, with only one clean sheet in their last 7 away fixtures, limits their edge. The head-to-head record is balanced, but Udinese’s slightly better home scoring rate gives them a narrow advantage.

Edge: Udinese holds a slight advantage due to home scoring form and Parma’s away defensive struggles. Expect a tight game with limited goals, leaning towards a narrow home win or draw. Win probability: Udinese ~45%, Parma ~30%, Draw ~25%.

Team Form

Udinese’s form at home is more productive, but their defense has been inconsistent, conceding in most recent matches. Parma’s away form lacks wins and their defense leaks goals, but they do manage to keep games tight with multiple draws.