18 April 2026
Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Serie A


AS Roma vs Atalanta | Prediction & 62% Roma Win Chance ·
Match Preview
AS Roma and Atalanta meet on April 18, 2026, with both sides eyeing valuable Serie A points. Roma currently sit four points clear of the European qualification zone, having collected 8 points from their last 5 games (W2 D2 L1). Their home form remains solid with 12 goals scored in 8 matches at the Stadio Olimpico this season, averaging 1.5 goals per home game.
Atalanta arrive off a mixed run of form, securing just 5 points from their previous 5 fixtures (W1 D2 L2). The visitors have struggled defensively on the road, conceding 9 goals in their last 4 away matches, a trend that could be exploited by Roma’s prolific forward, Pellegrini, who has netted 11 league goals this season. Atalanta’s attack remains potent but inconsistent outside Bergamo.
Roma’s defense has shown vulnerability, conceding 7 goals in their last 5 home games, which keeps Atalanta’s attacking threat relevant. However, Atalanta’s shaky away record and Roma’s overall stability at home give the hosts a slight edge. Expect a competitive game with Roma favored to capitalize on home advantage and Atalanta’s defensive lapses.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | WDWDL | 9 | 7 |
| Atalanta | LDLWD | 6 | 9 |
Roma have demonstrated a consistent ability to score at home, but their defense has been breached regularly, potentially inviting Atalanta’s counter-attacks. Atalanta’s away form is patchy, with defensive frailties exposing them to conceding multiple goals.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Value lies in Roma’s home edge given Atalanta’s defensive struggles away, though the odds suggest a competitive match with no overwhelming favorite.
Our Prediction
Roma’s home scoring and Atalanta’s away defensive issues tilt the prediction toward a Roma win with goals at both ends and a moderate scoring game.
Best Bet
- Home win (≈2.10) — Roma’s superior home scoring rate and Atalanta’s poor defensive record away suggest the hosts have the edge to secure all three points.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.85) — Roma’s defensive leaks and Atalanta’s attacking threat make goals likely at both ends.
- Over 1.5 total goals (≈1.45) — Given Roma’s 1.5 goals per home game and Atalanta’s offensive output, expect at least two goals in total.
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