Major League Soccer
Sat, 19 Sept 2026
Gillette Stadium, Boston


New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC Prediction &
Match Preview
New England Revolution travel to face Orlando City SC on September 19, 2026, with both sides entrenched in the MLS playoff hunt. Orlando sits second in the table, three points clear of New England, who are vying to close the gap and secure a top-four finish. The Revolution have scored 9 goals in their last 4 matches but have conceded 7, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that have cost them points recently.
At home, Orlando City have been solid, boasting 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 4 matches at Exploria Stadium, scoring 8 goals and conceding only 3. New England’s away form is less convincing, with just one clean sheet in their last seven road games and a tendency to concede late goals under pressure. Key player Carles Gil remains influential for New England, contributing 7 assists this season, but the defense’s inconsistency remains a concern.
Orlando’s tighter defensive record and home advantage give them a slight edge, but New England’s attacking output keeps this competitive. Expect a tight game with Orlando favored narrowly due to their superior home form and defensive solidity. Win probability leans around 45% Orlando, 30% New England, and 25% draw.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | WLDWW | 11 | 8 |
| Orlando City SC | WWDWL | 13 | 6 |
New England’s recent form shows solid scoring but a leakier defense compared to Orlando, who concede less and maintain good home results. Orlando’s ability to control games defensively at Exploria could frustrate New England’s attack.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Odds suggest a competitive match with slight preference for Orlando at home; value exists in cautious away bets given New England’s scoring ability and Orlando’s occasional defensive lapses.
Our Prediction
Orlando City holds a narrow edge at home due to better defensive form and league position, but New England’s scoring threat and defensive inconsistency make this a close game leaning towards a low-margin Orlando win or draw.
Best Bet
- Double chance: Away or Draw (≈1.65) — New England’s scoring form and Orlando’s occasional defensive lapses make avoiding defeat a realistic bet for the visitors.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.90) — New England have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Orlando’s defense has conceded 6 goals in their last 5 home games.
- Over 1.5 total goals (≈1.40) — Both sides average over 2 goals per game combined recently, suggesting a match with at least two goals is likely.
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Bet Strategy
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