Major League Soccer
Sat, 19 Sept 2026
Saputo Stadium, Montreal
CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Win Chance %
Match Preview
CF Montréal host Columbus Crew in a mid-table MLS clash with both sides struggling for form. Montréal sit 15th with 21 points, just four points above the relegation-threatened zone, having won only once in their last 10 matches. Their recent five-game run shows one draw and four losses, conceding 9 goals in the last 4 matches, highlighting defensive vulnerability.
At Saputo Stadium, Montréal’s attack, led by midfielder Bayo, averages 1.2 goals per game but has failed to convert chances efficiently. Columbus Crew, positioned 13th with 23 points, have a slightly better recent return with three wins in 10, scoring 1.6 goals per game. However, their away record remains patchy with just one clean sheet in their last seven away fixtures.
Their head-to-head history favors Columbus slightly with five wins from 11 meetings. Both teams have seen goals in 82% of those encounters, suggesting an open game. Montréal’s defensive frailties and poor home form give Columbus a narrow edge, especially given their slightly better goal production and current form.
Columbus Crew’s more consistent scoring and Montréal’s leaky defense tilt the advantage away from the hosts. Expect a close contest with an away win or draw likely, with a 40% win probability for Columbus and 35% for Montréal.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal | D L D L L | 6 | 12 |
| Columbus Crew | L L L W L | 8 | 11 |
Both teams have struggled to string wins together, with defensive lapses costing points. Montréal’s home form is particularly poor, conceding 12 goals in their last five matches overall, while Columbus has shown slightly better offensive output despite inconsistent results.
Montreal’s inability to hold leads and Columbus’s shaky away defense suggest a match open to goals but tight in outcome.
Columbus CrewLCf MontrealDColumbus CrewWCf MontrealLColumbus CrewDColumbus CrewWBetting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
Odds reflect a balanced contest with a slight edge to Columbus Crew, offering value in away or draw no bet markets given Montréal’s defensive woes.
Our Prediction
Columbus Crew hold a slight edge due to Montreal’s defensive struggles and weaker home form, with goals expected but a tight scoreline likely.
Best Bet
- Draw No Bet: Columbus Crew (≈1.85) — Montréal’s home defense is fragile, and Columbus’s better form and goal output suggest they are less likely to lose, making this a safer stake.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.90) — Both sides have conceded heavily recently, and 82% of their past meetings featured goals at both ends.
- Under 3.5 total goals (≈1.40) — While goals are likely, both teams lack clinical finishing, and the defensive leaks tend to yield fewer than four goals per game in their recent head-to-head and form.
How do you think this match will end? Vote below and see what others are saying.
Bet Strategy
Use our System Bet Calculator to calculate optimal betting combinations for this match.
Open System Bet Calculator →
This prediction is solely subjective and cannot be considered as true or reliable information.