Genoa vs Sassuolo | Prediction & Odds | 55% Away Win Chance

Match Preview

Genoa host Sassuolo at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on April 12, 2026, in a Serie A fixture where league positioning and form trends matter. Genoa sits just four points above the relegation zone, having collected 12 points from their last 15. Their home form has been decent, averaging 1.2 goals per game but conceding 1.3 on average, showing some defensive vulnerability on familiar ground.

Sassuolo, meanwhile, are pushing for mid-table safety and have been more efficient on the road, scoring 9 goals in their last 5 away games but conceding 8 in the same span. Their recent run includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and a loss, reflecting inconsistency. Forward Scamacca remains their key attacking threat, with 11 Serie A goals this season, but the team’s defensive lapses—six goals conceded in their last three away fixtures—pose a concern.

Genoa’s defensive record stands out as a weakness, having conceded 9 goals in their last 4 league matches overall. Sassuolo’s slightly better away scoring rate and more stable form give them a slight edge. However, Genoa’s home resilience and urgency to stay clear of relegation suggest a tight game. The edge leans towards Sassuolo due to their sharper recent away performances and attacking output, with a roughly 45% implied chance to win versus Genoa’s 35%.

Team Form

Genoa’s recent results show a pattern of inconsistency, particularly at the back, with 10 goals conceded in five matches. Their attack has been serviceable but not prolific.

Sassuolo’s form is steadier, with more goals scored and a slightly better defensive record, especially away from home, though their recent away defensive lapses remain a concern.