12 April 2026
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Serie A


Como vs Inter | Serie A Prediction & Lineups | 55% Win
Match Preview
Como currently hold fourth place in Serie A, sitting three points clear of the chasing pack for European qualification. Their recent form has been solid, with five wins, four draws, and just one loss in the last ten matches. However, their momentum hit a slight snag with a 0-0 draw against Udinese, ending a five-match winning streak. Defensively, Como have shown resilience at home but lack cutting edge in attack, managing only 0.8 goals per game in recent fixtures.
Inter Milan snapped a rare winless run by thrashing Roma 5-2 last time out, lifting their spirits ahead of this trip. Their form over the last ten games reads four wins, three draws, and three losses, reflecting inconsistency. Inter rely heavily on striker Lautaro Martínez, who has been integral to their attack. Away from home, Inter have conceded 9 goals in their last 4 away matches, exposing defensive vulnerabilities that Como could exploit.
Como’s home steadiness contrasts with Inter’s defensive fragility on the road. Martínez’s goal threat gives Inter an edge, but their porous away defense and mixed form suggest this won’t be straightforward. Given Como’s European spot ambitions and Inter’s recent high-scoring victory, this match leans slightly towards Inter, though a tight scoreline is likely. Inter win probability sits around 55%, with value in cautious away bets.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como | WWWWD | 9 | 3 |
| Inter | WLDLW | 11 | 10 |
Como’s recent home form is stable, with four wins and a draw in their last five. Their defense is tight, conceding only three goals across those games. Inter, however, show a volatile pattern, with two losses and a draw in their last five away matches but a strong attack that scored 11 goals.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
Inter’s away win at around 2.10 offers decent value given their recent goal-scoring boost and Como’s slight dip in form after the draw with Udinese.
Our Prediction
Inter favored narrowly due to attacking form and Martínez’s influence, but Como’s home defense and recent consistency make this a competitive, goal-involved fixture.
Best Bet
- Both teams to score Yes (≈1.80) — Inter’s defensive issues away and Como’s ability to find the net in recent games support both sides scoring.
- Draw No Bet: Away DNB (≈1.65) — Covers Inter’s inconsistency but acknowledges their attacking edge and recent win breaking the drought.
- Over 2.5 total goals (≈2.45) — Recent Inter matches have been high scoring, and Como’s attack is capable enough to push the total beyond 2.5 goals.
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Bet Strategy
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