1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

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The Bundesliga fixture between 1899 Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05 on April 4, 2026, promises an intriguing contest as both sides seek vital points in the middle of the table. Hoffenheim will be looking to maintain their recent positive momentum at home despite missing key defender Valentin Gendrey due to an ankle injury. Mainz, meanwhile, arrive with a slightly better overall season record and the encouraging news that Anthony Caci has returned to training after an adductor injury.

This clash could be pivotal for both teams aiming to secure a stable league position as the campaign enters its final phase, with Hoffenheim hoping their recent upturn in form can overcome Mainz’s balanced and resilient squad.

Team Form

Team	Last 5	Goals For	Goals Against
1899 Hoffenheim	WWWWL	12	7
FSV Mainz 05	WWDDL	8	6

Hoffenheim’s recent run of four wins in five matches reflects a strong resurgence, particularly impressive given their defensive solidity, conceding just seven goals in those games. Mainz’s slightly more mixed form—with two wins, two draws, and a loss—shows competitive resilience but less consistent cutting edge going forward. Hoffenheim’s momentum and home advantage may give them the upper hand.

21/11/2025Bundesliga

Fsv Mainz 05D

1 – 1

D1899 Hoffenheim

12/04/2025Bundesliga

1899 HoffenheimW

2 – 0

LFsv Mainz 05

01/12/2024Bundesliga

Fsv Mainz 05W

2 – 0

L1899 Hoffenheim

13/04/2024Bundesliga

Fsv Mainz 05W

4 – 1

L1899 Hoffenheim

26/11/2023Bundesliga

1899 HoffenheimD

1 – 1

DFsv Mainz 05

04/03/2023Bundesliga

Fsv Mainz 05W

1 – 0

L1899 Hoffenheim

Betting Odds

Home	Draw	Away
2.30	3.20	2.90

The odds suggest a relatively open match with Hoffenheim slightly favored at home, but the value in the draw and Mainz win options is notable considering Mainz’s solid overall season form and recent squad improvements.

Our Prediction

Hoffenheim to win narrowly with both teams scoring.

Best Bet

Home Draw No Bet (≈1.70) — Hoffenheim’s recent winning form and home advantage make them favorites, but Mainz’s resilience and squad return reduce the risk, offering good safety with this market.
Both teams to score: Yes (≈2.10) — Despite Hoffenheim’s improved defense, Mainz’s attacking threat and Hoffenheim’s offensive momentum suggest goals on both sides.
Home team over 1.5 goals (≈2.50) — Hoffenheim’s scoring form in recent matches supports backing them to score at least twice, especially against Mainz’s occasionally leaky defense.

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This prediction is solely subjective and cannot be considered as true or reliable information.