Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

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Sevilla host Atletico Madrid in what promises to be a tactical and tightly contested La Liga fixture on April 11, 2026. Sevilla enter this match struggling for consistency, having won just once in their last five games, while Atletico Madrid continue to impress defensively, conceding the fewest away goals in the league this season. Both teams have injury concerns, with Sevilla notably missing several players, which could impact their attacking options.

Atletico will look to capitalize on Sevilla’s defensive vulnerabilities, as the home side has conceded more goals than any other team in La Liga this season. The stakes remain high as both sides seek valuable points to maintain or improve their league standing in the run-in.

Team Form

Team	Last 5	Goals For	Goals Against
Sevilla	L L L D W	6	12
Atletico Madrid	W D W W D	8	2

Sevilla’s recent form highlights a worrying trend with three consecutive losses and defensive frailties evident as they have conceded 12 goals in their last five matches. In contrast, Atletico Madrid have been solid and efficient, losing none of their last five and conceding just twice, underscoring their reputation for defensive discipline, especially on the road.

01 nov 2025La Liga

Atletico MadridW

3 – 0

LSevilla

06 apr 2025La Liga

SevillaL

1 – 2

WAtletico Madrid

08 dic 2024La Liga

Atletico MadridW

4 – 3

LSevilla

11 feb 2024La Liga

SevillaW

1 – 0

LAtletico Madrid

25 gen 2024Copa del Rey

Atletico MadridW

1 – 0

LSevilla

23 dic 2023La Liga

Atletico MadridW

1 – 0

LSevilla

Betting Odds

Home	Draw	Away
2.90	3.30	2.40

The odds suggest a fairly balanced contest with a slight edge to Atletico Madrid. The draw is also well priced, reflecting the likelihood of a close match given Sevilla’s home advantage but poor form.

Our Prediction

Atletico Madrid to win a tight, low-scoring game with both teams not scoring.

Best Bet

Both teams to score: No (≈1.65) — Atletico’s defensive record away and Sevilla’s recent defensive lapses suggest Atletico will keep a clean sheet, while Sevilla’s offense struggles to break down organized teams.
Draw No Bet - Away (≈2.10) — Provides a safety net if Atletico fails to win, but their form and defensive strength make them the most likely side to avoid defeat.
Under 2.5 total goals (≈2.75) — Given Sevilla’s recent heavy conceding is more about quantity than quality chances, and Atletico’s defensive approach, the match should stay tight and low scoring.

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This prediction is solely subjective and cannot be considered as true or reliable information.