FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Prediction

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Match Preview

FSV Mainz 05 welcome SC Freiburg to the Mewa Arena on April 12, 2026, in a crucial Bundesliga clash as both teams aim to consolidate their positions in the mid-table and potentially push for European qualification spots. Mainz, known for their disciplined defensive setup, will look to exploit home advantage, while Freiburg’s dynamic and pressing style poses a significant challenge, especially given their recent resilience on the road.

With the season entering its final phase, every point is vital. Neither side can afford complacency, and this encounter promises a tactical battle with both teams eager to impose their game plan.

Team Form

Team	Last 5	Goals For	Goals Against
FSV Mainz 05	W D L W D	7	6
SC Freiburg	W W D L W	10	5

Both teams have shown solid recent form, with Freiburg slightly more potent in attack, averaging two goals per game over their last five matches compared to Mainz’s 1.4. Defensively, Freiburg also edges ahead, conceding fewer goals. Mainz’s results indicate some inconsistency, but their home performances remain competitive, setting the stage for a tightly contested match.

30 nov. 2025Bundesliga

Sc FreiburgW

4 – 0

LFsv Mainz 05

15 mars 2025Bundesliga

Fsv Mainz 05D

2 – 2

DSc Freiburg

03 nov. 2024Bundesliga

Sc FreiburgD

0 – 0

DFsv Mainz 05

21 avr. 2024Bundesliga

Sc FreiburgD

1 – 1

DFsv Mainz 05

03 déc. 2023Bundesliga

Fsv Mainz 05L

0 – 1

WSc Freiburg

19 mars 2023Bundesliga

Fsv Mainz 05D

1 – 1

DSc Freiburg

Betting Odds

Home	Draw	Away
2.40	3.30	2.90

Odds suggest a balanced match with a slight edge to Mainz at home, but Freiburg’s recent form and attacking threat offer good value for an away win or a competitive draw.

Our Prediction

Freiburg to win narrowly with both teams scoring in a low-scoring match.

Best Bet

Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.85) — Both sides have scored consistently recently and possess attacking weapons capable of breaching defenses, making goals from both teams likely.
Away win (2) (≈2.90) — Freiburg’s superior attacking form and defensive solidity on the road give them a realistic chance to secure all three points in a close encounter.
Under 2.5 goals (≈1.60) — Given Mainz’s defensive discipline and the importance of the match, a tight scoreline with fewer goals is probable despite both teams scoring.

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This prediction is solely subjective and cannot be considered as true or reliable information.