Arouca vs Estoril Prediction

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Match Preview

Arouca and Estoril meet at Municipal de Arouca on April 6, 2026, in what promises to be a tightly contested Primeira Liga fixture. Both sides have shown flashes of quality this season but have struggled with consistency, making this a crucial game as they look to secure vital points in the mid-table battle. Injury concerns will play a role, with Arouca missing Mateo Flores and Pedro Santos, while Estoril will be without Kevin Boma, André Lacximicant, and Or Israelov.

The two teams share very similar recent form and squad challenges, so tactical discipline and exploiting home advantage could be decisive in this encounter.

Team Form

Team	Last 5	Goals For	Goals Against
Arouca	WWWDL	8	7
Estoril	WWWDL	7	8

Both Arouca and Estoril have identical recent form records, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their goals for and against are also closely matched, indicating balanced offensive and defensive capabilities on both sides. This suggests a fairly even encounter where small margins could determine the outcome.

07 nov. 2025Primeira Liga

EstorilW

4 – 3

LArouca

16 mars 2025Primeira Liga

AroucaD

1 – 1

DEstoril

26 oct. 2024Primeira Liga

EstorilW

4 – 1

LArouca

20 janv. 2024Primeira Liga

EstorilL

1 – 2

WArouca

13 août 2023Primeira Liga

AroucaW

4 – 3

LEstoril

15 mai 2023Primeira Liga

EstorilW

2 – 0

LArouca

Betting Odds

Home	Draw	Away
2.30	3.10	3.00

The odds reflect a balanced match, with a slight edge to Arouca as the home side. Value can be found in markets that consider the tightness and similar form of both teams rather than a straightforward win.

Our Prediction

Expect a tight, low-scoring match with a slight edge to Arouca at home but a high chance of at least one side failing to score.

Best Bet

Under 2.5 goals (≈1.55) — Both teams have conceded and scored moderately in recent matches, and with key attacking absences, this match is likely to stay tight and low-scoring.
Both teams to score: No (≈2.10) — Considering the defensive strengths and cautious tactics expected, one or both sides may fail to find the net, making this a realistic option.
Draw No Bet: Home (≈2.40) — Arouca’s home form combined with Estoril’s injury concerns slightly favors the hosts, but the insurance of the draw no bet reduces risk if the visitors manage a late equalizer.

Bet Strategy

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This prediction is solely subjective and cannot be considered as true or reliable information.