La Liga
dim. 6 sept. 2026
Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz


Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction | Tight La Liga Odds & Lineups
Match Preview
Alaves and Osasuna enter this La Liga fixture unbeaten after three matches, both on seven points and within a point of each other near the top five. Alaves sit fourth, benefiting from a strong home record at Mendizorrotza, where they have taken two wins and a draw so far this season. Their defense has been particularly impressive, conceding just one league goal overall, backed by four clean sheets in their last five games across competitions.
Osasuna mirror Alaves’ defensive solidity, also conceding only once in La Liga to date. They have matched the hosts’ early form with two wins and a draw but face uncertainty over Jorge Herrando and Aimar Oroz’s fitness after recent knocks. Alaves will miss forward Toni Martínez, which could blunt their attacking edge, though their nine goals in five matches highlight decent offensive output.
The narrow gap in league positions and similar defensive records suggest a tight contest. Osasuna’s away performances have been solid but less prolific than Alaves’ home scoring rate. The slight edge goes to Alaves thanks to home advantage and a more consistent attacking rhythm, despite Martínez’s absence. Expect a low-scoring, closely fought game with a marginal lean toward the hosts.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | WWWDW | 9 | 1 |
| Osasuna | WWDWD | 7 | 3 |
Alaves have been on a three-match winning streak recently, emphasizing their attacking potency and defensive resilience. Their ability to keep clean sheets while scoring regularly at home is notable.
Osasuna’s form is solid but slightly less consistent in scoring, with two draws in their last five and a small uptick in goals conceded compared to Alaves. Injury doubts over Herrando and Oroz may affect their defensive stability.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
Odds indicate a balanced market with a slight preference for Alaves, reflecting their home advantage and current form. Value may lie in cautious double chance or defensive markets given the low goals conceded by both sides.
Notre pronostic
Alaves hold a slight edge due to home form and defensive strength; expect a tight, low-scoring game with a narrow home win or draw as the likeliest outcomes.
Best Bet
- Under 2.5 total goals (1.55) — Both teams have conceded only one goal each and display strong defensive records, suggesting a low-scoring match.
- Home double chance (1X) (1.70) — Alaves’ home form and Osasuna’s injury doubts tilt the balance toward avoiding an away win.
- Alaves to win and both teams to score No (≈2.40) — Alaves have a solid defense and slight attacking edge without Martínez; Osasuna’s scoring is less consistent and likely limited here.
Le coup d’envoi est passé — le vote est clos. Répartition finale ci-dessous.
Stratégie de pari
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