Alaves vs Mallorca | La Liga Prediction · Best Bet Draw No

Match Preview

Alavés host Mallorca in La Liga on April 25, 2026, with both sides seeking to consolidate their league status. Alavés currently sit four points above the relegation zone, having collected 7 points from their last 5 matches (W2 D1 L2). Their home form is patchy, scoring just 5 goals in 7 games at Mendizorrotza while conceding 11, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that Mallorca could exploit.

Mallorca arrive in relatively better shape, with 9 points from their last 5 and a more balanced attack averaging 1.2 goals per game on the road. Their defensive record away is tighter, conceding only 7 goals in 8 away fixtures. Forward Salva remains their key threat, netting 8 league goals this season and providing a focal point in attack.

Recent head-to-heads suggest tight contests, with Alavés conceding 9 goals in their last 4 league matches overall. Mallorca’s steadier away form and sharper finishing give them an edge, though Alavés’ home pressure and desperation to avoid slipping closer to the drop zone cannot be discounted. The edge leans slightly towards Mallorca due to their consistency and defensive stability, but a low-scoring draw is a realistic outcome. Win probabilities: Mallorca 38%, Draw 34%, Alavés 28%.

Team Form

Alavés’ inconsistency at home continues to be a concern, especially their defensive lapses that have led to conceding over 1.5 goals per home game this season. Mallorca’s recent away results show resilience, with only one loss in their last five road games.

Salva’s goal threat remains a key factor for Mallorca, whereas Alavés rely heavily on collective effort rather than a standout scorer. The home team’s defensive fragility contrasts with Mallorca’s more disciplined backline.