Le Havre vs Angers | Prediction & 55% Home Win Chance

Match Preview

Le Havre enter this Ligue 1 fixture sitting four points above the relegation zone, having collected seven points from their first five matches (2W-1D-2L). Their home form is solid with 5 goals scored and 4 conceded at Stade Océane, but the defense has shown vulnerability, conceding 9 goals in their last 4 league games overall. Boufal remains their top creative threat, contributing 3 assists this season, making him key to breaking down Angers' defense.

Angers arrive with a similar points tally (6 from 5 games) but have struggled away, securing just one point in their last three road fixtures. Their attack has been blunt on the road, scoring only 2 goals in those matches, while conceding 7. Midfielder Diallo has been influential in transition but the team’s defensive record away (two clean sheets in last 7 away matches) is a concern.

Le Havre’s home edge and slightly better attacking output against Angers’ leaky away defense give the hosts a statistical advantage. However, both sides show defensive fragility, suggesting a potential for goals. The edge goes to Le Havre due to home performances and Boufal’s influence, with a 52% implied win probability versus Angers’ 30%.

Team Form

Le Havre’s inconsistency is evident, with defensive lapses undermining their attacking efforts. Angers’ away struggles continue, especially in converting chances, which could limit their scoring potential here.

Le Havre’s home goal rate of 1.25 per game contrasts with Angers’ 0.66 away, highlighting the hosts’ slight edge in offensive output.