VfB Stuttgart vs Viking Prediction & Win Chance % Analysis

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart opens its 2026–27 UEFA Champions League campaign hosting Viking Stavanger at the MHP-Arena. Stuttgart’s recent form is mixed with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games, scoring 7 goals but conceding 8 across that span. Their home record is a slight edge, but defensive instability remains a concern, having conceded in four of their last five matches.

Viking arrive off a strong run, winning three and drawing one in their last five, with a tighter defensive record, conceding just 3 goals in that period. Their away form in Europe is less proven, but their attack, led by key forward Deniz Undav, who is expected to spearhead Stuttgart’s offense, promises to test Viking’s backline. Viking’s ability to keep clean sheets away has been inconsistent, with only one clean sheet in their last seven away matches across competitions.

Stuttgart’s main weakness lies in defensive lapses, conceding 8 goals in their last 5, while Viking’s away goal threat and resilience make this a competitive fixture. Given the narrow goal difference and Stuttgart’s slight home advantage, the edge goes to the hosts, but only marginally, with Stuttgart’s win probability around 44%. Expect a tight, low-scoring encounter.

Team Form

Viking’s recent form shows more consistency, especially defensively, conceding fewer goals despite a similar attacking output as Stuttgart. Stuttgart’s defensive fragility at home contrasts with their ability to score but may force them into a cautious approach against a resilient Viking side.