Serie A

Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice

Venezia
vs
Lazio

Venezia vs Lazio Prediction & Win Chance | Serie A Odds

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Match Preview

Venezia remain rooted to the bottom of Serie A with zero points after five matches, having lost all their games so far this season. Their defensive vulnerability is glaring, conceding 15 goals in these five fixtures, including nine in their last four. At home, their record is equally poor, with no points gained and a leaky backline that has allowed an average of 3 goals per home match.

Lazio sit third in the league with nine points, just behind the early leaders. Their form is solid, with three wins and two losses, and they have scored 11 goals in total, averaging 2.2 per game. Ciro Immobile continues to be their main attacking threat, contributing five goals already. Lazio’s away form is strong compared to Venezia’s home struggles, with just one clean sheet in seven away games last season but a sharper attack this term.

Venezia’s ongoing goal drought and defensive frailty give Lazio a clear edge here. The visitors’ superior goal-scoring rate and league position reflect their strength. Venezia’s inability to stop conceding goals, combined with Lazio’s attacking prowess led by Immobile, suggests the away side is the likely winner. Lazio hold roughly a 50-56% chance to win, with Venezia’s chances under 25%.

Team Form

Team Last 5 Goals For Goals Against
Venezia LLLLL 3 15
Lazio WWLWL 11 7

Venezia’s last five losses underline their defensive issues and inability to convert chances. Their 3 goals for versus 15 conceded highlight a severe imbalance. Lazio’s inconsistency is visible in two defeats but their attack remains productive, with 11 goals scored.

While Venezia might seek to tighten up at home, their recent form suggests this will be a tough challenge against a Lazio side firing on all cylinders offensively.

22 Feb 2025Serie A
VeneziaD
00
DLazio
18 Aug 2024Serie A
LazioW
31
LVenezia
22 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs
LazioD
00
DVenezia
14 Mar 2022Serie A
LazioW
10
LVenezia
22 Dec 2021Serie A
VeneziaL
13
WLazio

Betting Odds

Home Draw Away
4.50 3.80 1.75

Lazio’s odds reflect their clear status as favorites, with value lying in their win or related markets given Venezia’s poor form and defensive record.

Our Prediction

Lazio’s offensive edge and Venezia’s defensive struggles favor an away win with under 3.5 goals and a low chance of both teams scoring in this Serie A fixture.

Best Bet

  1. Away Double Chance (1X2: Away win) (1.75) — Lazio’s superior form and Venezia’s six-match losing streak make the away win the most straightforward bet.
  2. Under 3.5 total goals (≈1.40) — Despite Venezia’s defensive issues, Lazio are unlikely to run up a huge scoreline away; expect a controlled game with fewer than four goals.
  3. Both teams to score: No (≈2.80) — Venezia’s attack has scored only 3 goals in 5 matches, making it unlikely they find the net against a Lazio defense that has improved this season.

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This prediction is solely subjective and cannot be considered as true or reliable information.