Premier League
Sat, 12 Sept 2026
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London


Tottenham vs Everton Prediction | 62% Spurs Win Chance ·
Match Preview
Tottenham face Everton with Premier League survival on the line. Spurs sit just four points above the relegation zone, needing at least a point to guarantee safety. Their recent form shows inconsistency, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in the last five matches. Notably, Tottenham have conceded 9 goals in their last 4 games, exposing defensive vulnerabilities.
At home, Tottenham average 1.2 goals per game but have struggled to keep clean sheets, with only one in their last 7 home fixtures. Brazilian forward Richarlison’s exclusion from the squad after failed contract talks weakens Spurs’ attacking options. Everton arrive with a mid-table buffer but have managed only one clean sheet in their last 7 away matches, scoring 0.8 goals per game on the road.
Everton’s defensive frailties and Tottenham’s home advantage give the hosts a slight edge. However, Spurs’ shaky defense and Everton’s resilience suggest a tight encounter. Tottenham’s Harry Kane remains a key threat, with 7 goals this season, underpinning their best chance of securing the needed point. Overall, Tottenham are favored at approximately 55% win probability due to home form and urgency.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | W L D W L | 8 | 9 |
| Everton | D W L D W | 6 | 7 |
Tottenham’s form is uneven, with defensive lapses undermining their goal output, despite Kane’s scoring. Everton’s away form is patchy but they have shown grit, picking up points in four of their last five games.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
Value lies in Tottenham’s home win given their survival stakes and Kane’s form, but Everton’s defensive resilience suggests cautious stakes.
Our Prediction
Tottenham’s home urgency and Kane’s scoring edge Everton’s defensive frailty, favoring a narrow Spurs win with both teams scoring likely.
Best Bet
- Home & Over 1.5 goals (≈2.10) — Tottenham’s attack led by Kane should break through, and the defensive weaknesses on both sides make multiple goals likely.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.85) — Spurs’ porous defense and Everton’s ability to score even on the road suggest both sides will find the net.
- Team total goals - Tottenham Over 1.5 (≈2.40) — Kane and supporting attackers should net at least twice, especially with Richarlison absent and Spurs needing goals from their main striker.
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