17 April 2026
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia, Serie A


Sassuolo vs Como | Prediction & Lineups | Both Teams Score
Match Preview
Sassuolo hosts Como at the MAPEI Stadium on April 17, 2026, with both sides showing contrasting recent form trends. Sassuolo has collected 7 points from their last 5 Serie A matches (W2 D1 L2), including a narrow 2-1 win over Cagliari, but their defensive record remains shaky, conceding 7 goals in those games. They also carry injury concerns with Daniel Boloca sidelined until mid-May and two other doubtful players, potentially impacting squad depth.
Como arrives on the back of a five-match winning streak, including impressive victories over Juventus and Roma. Their attack, led by Tasos Douvikas (11 goals) and Nico Paz (10 goals), has been prolific, scoring 15 goals across those wins. Como’s away form has markedly improved, though they still have some injury doubts around Jacobo Ramón. Defensively, however, they have conceded 6 goals in the last 5 away games, showing some vulnerability.
At home, Sassuolo averages 1.2 goals per game but concedes at a similar rate, highlighting defensive instability. Como’s recent 5-0 thrashing of Pisa underscores their attacking potential. However, Sassuolo’s experience in Serie A and home advantage give them a slight edge. Still, Como’s momentum and goal-scoring threat make this a competitive fixture.
Overall, the edge leans marginally to Sassuolo due to home advantage and squad depth, but Como’s current form and firepower make this a tight contest. Expect a close game with potential for goals. Sassuolo win probability is around 45%, with Como at 35%, and draws at 20%.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | WDLWL | 7 | 9 |
| Como | WWWWW | 15 | 6 |
Como’s five straight wins highlight their confidence and attacking sharpness, with Douvikas and Paz driving their goal tally. Sassuolo have been less consistent and vulnerable at the back, which could be exploited by the visitors’ in-form forwards.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds suggest a competitive match with a slight lean towards a Sassuolo win, but Como’s form and value in the 2.90 range merit consideration for an upset.
Our Prediction
Sassuolo’s home edge and squad depth narrowly favour them, but Como’s hot streak and attacking threat forecast a close, goal-filled match with value on both teams scoring.
Best Bet
- Double chance: 1X (≈1.45) — Sassuolo’s home form and squad depth provide a safe buffer against Como’s threat, making a Sassuolo win or draw the most probable outcome.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.85) — Both sides have shown attacking efficiency and defensive vulnerabilities, especially Sassuolo conceding 9 in their last 5 and Como scoring freely.
- Away team total goals Over 1.5 (≈3.50) — Como’s potent attack, with Douvikas and Paz in form, suggests they can score at least twice even on the road, especially against a defensively shaky Sassuolo.
Bet Strategy
Use our System Bet Calculator to calculate optimal betting combinations for this match.
Open System Bet Calculator →This prediction is solely subjective and cannot be considered as true or reliable information.

