San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo | Prediction & 62%

Match Preview

San Jose Earthquakes host Houston Dynamo on September 13, 2026, in an MLS Western Conference matchup with playoff implications. San Jose currently sit fifth with a 10-8-3 record, trailing Houston by four points. The Earthquakes have been struggling recently, entering this game on a three-match losing streak, having conceded 9 goals in their last 4 matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

At home, San Jose averages 1.3 goals per game but has only kept one clean sheet in their last seven home fixtures, exposing a fragile backline. Key forward Castillo has been their top scorer this season with 11 goals, carrying much of the attacking burden. However, the Earthquakes’ inconsistency in defense undermines their chances.

Houston Dynamo, sitting third in the West with a 12-7-2 record, boast a stronger overall form and a more balanced squad. Their away record is solid, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last five road games, scoring 9 goals in that span. Dynamo’s midfield maestro, Rodríguez, has been pivotal in chance creation, contributing 8 assists this season.

Houston’s defensive discipline contrasts sharply with San Jose’s recent leakiness. This edge, combined with better form and a superior points tally, gives Houston the advantage in this matchup. Expect a tight contest, but Houston’s consistency and defensive shape tilt the scales in their favor.

Team Form

San Jose’s recent form is poor, with three consecutive losses undermining confidence. Their defense has been particularly exposed, conceding 12 goals in the last five matches.

Houston’s form is more balanced, with four unbeaten in five games and a healthier goal difference. Their ability to limit goals against on the road is a notable strength.