17 April 2026
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde, Primeira Liga


Rio Ave vs AVS Prediction | Lineups & 55% Win Chance
Match Preview
Rio Ave host AVS in a Primeira Liga fixture where points are crucial as both sides hover near the relegation zone, separated by just four points. Rio Ave have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches (W2 D1 L2) and have scored 6 goals in that period, but their defence remains porous, conceding 9 goals in those games. At home, Rio Ave average 1.1 goals per game but have leaked 1.4 goals per home match on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
AVS arrive off a slightly worse run, with only 4 points from their last 5 matches (W1 D1 L3). Their away form is particularly troubling, having managed just one clean sheet in their last 7 away games and conceding an average of 1.7 goals per away match. Their top scorer, forward Silva, has contributed 8 league goals but has been quiet recently, scoring just once in the last 6 matches.
Rio Ave’s defensive fragility contrasts with AVS’s struggles to score consistently on the road. The edge goes to Rio Ave given their slightly better form and home advantage, but expect a tight game with limited margins. Odds suggest a 45% chance for Rio Ave, 30% draw, and 25% for AVS.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave | WDLWL | 6 | 9 |
| AVS | LLDWL | 4 | 8 |
Rio Ave’s slightly better recent form is driven by their ability to score at home, despite defensive lapses. AVS's away form remains a key weakness; they have struggled to keep clean sheets and have scored just 4 goals in their last 5 games overall.
Rio Ave rely heavily on midfield creativity from Pereira, who has been involved in 5 of their last 6 goals, while AVS’s Silva is a focal point but has been largely contained recently.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
Value appears in backing Rio Ave to secure at least a point given their home edge and AVS’s poor away form, while the draw is a reasonable alternative given the defensive weaknesses on both sides.
Our Prediction
Rio Ave hold a slight edge due to home form and scoring, but AVS’s road struggles and defensive leaks point to a low-scoring, tight game with both teams likely to find the net.
Best Bet
- Double chance: Home or Draw (1X) (≈1.45) — Rio Ave have the home advantage and better recent form, while AVS’s away struggles lower their chances; this provides a safer option covering both outcomes.
- Team total goals: Rio Ave Under 1.5 (≈1.90) — Given Rio Ave’s defensive issues but modest scoring rate at home, a low-scoring game with Rio Ave scoring no more than one goal is likely.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈2.20) — Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities and attacking players capable of scoring, making goals from both teams a reasonable expectation in this fixture.
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