Real Madrid vs Alaves | Prediction & 62% Win Chance ·

Match Preview

Real Madrid enter this fixture sitting second in La Liga with 70 points, trailing the leaders by a narrow margin. Their recent form has been underwhelming, failing to secure a win in April across four matches, managing just two draws and two losses. This slump has left them vulnerable to ending the season without silverware, a scenario rare for Los Blancos. Karim Benzema remains a key figure, leading their attack with 15 league goals this season.

At home, Real Madrid have been solid, scoring 38 goals in 16 matches at the Santiago Bernabéu, averaging 2.4 goals per game. However, defensive lapses have crept in recently, conceding 6 goals in their last 4 home fixtures, indicating some instability at the back. This defensive fragility could be exploited by opponents keen on survival points.

Deportivo Alavés, placed 17th with 33 points, are entrenched in the relegation zone but only four points shy of safety. Their away form is poor, with just one clean sheet in their last seven away matches and a negative goal difference of -11 overall. Alavés have scored only 9 goals in their last 10 games, reflecting offensive struggles. Their fight for survival will push them to absorb pressure and seek counter-attacks.

Real Madrid hold the edge due to superior quality and home advantage, but recent form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest caution. Alavés’ relegation fight could inspire resilience, making this more competitive than the table suggests. The home side is favored around 65% probability, but an upset or low-scoring outcome is plausible.

Team Form

Real Madrid’s recent win in their last 5 matches breaks a poor run but defensive issues persist. Alavés have shown sporadic resilience, avoiding defeat twice in their last three games, which could translate into a stubborn defensive effort here.