Bundesliga

Sat, 11 Apr 2026

Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig
vs
Borussia Mönchengladbach

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | Prediction & 72%

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Match Preview

RB Leipzig hosts Borussia Mönchengladbach at the Red Bull Arena on April 11, aiming to consolidate their top-four Bundesliga position. Leipzig has won four of their last five league matches, scoring 9 goals while conceding just 4 in that span. Their home form remains strong, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game at home this season.

Gladbach, meanwhile, struggle on the road with only one clean sheet in their last seven away fixtures and have conceded 9 goals in their last four matches overall. The visitors sit just four points above the relegation zone, making every point vital in their survival fight. Key player Hofmann continues to lead their attack but has struggled to find consistent support.

Defensively, Gladbach’s vulnerability away is a concern, and Leipzig’s efficient attacking trio, spearheaded by Szoboszlai, should exploit these gaps. The edge lies clearly with Leipzig, whose recent form and home advantage give them about a 65% implied probability to take all three points.

Team Form

Team Last 5 Goals For Goals Against
RB Leipzig WWDWL 9 6
Borussia Mönchengladbach LLDWL 5 9

Leipzig’s recent form shows resilience, with a solid home goal return and a reliable defense. Gladbach’s inconsistency and defensive frailties on the road remain evident, making their attack heavily reliant on Hofmann’s output.

28 Nov 2025Bundesliga
Borussia MönchengladbachD
0 – 0
DRb Leipzig
29 Mar 2025Bundesliga
Borussia MönchengladbachW
1 – 0
LRb Leipzig
09 Nov 2024Bundesliga
Rb LeipzigD
0 – 0
DBorussia Mönchengladbach
17 Feb 2024Bundesliga
Rb LeipzigW
2 – 0
LBorussia Mönchengladbach
23 Sept 2023Bundesliga
Borussia MönchengladbachL
0 – 1
WRb Leipzig
11 Mar 2023Bundesliga
Rb LeipzigW
3 – 0
LBorussia Mönchengladbach

Betting Odds

Home (RB Leipzig) Draw Away (Borussia Mönchengladbach)
1.65 3.75 5.20

Leipzig’s odds reflect their clear home advantage and form edge, offering reasonable value given Gladbach’s struggles away from home.

Our Prediction

Leipzig favored to win with a reliable home attack and Gladbach’s poor away scoring record tipping the match to a 2-0 or 2-1 result; under 2.5 goals and no both teams to score appear strong plays.

Best Bet

  1. Home & Over 1.5 goals (≈1.85) — Leipzig’s strong home attack combined with Gladbach’s defensive weaknesses makes a home win with at least two goals likely.
  2. Away Under 1.5 goals (≈2.10) — Gladbach’s limited scoring on the road, with just 5 goals in last 5 matches, suggests they won’t score more than once.
  3. Both teams to score: No (≈2.40) — Leipzig’s defense has been solid at home, and Gladbach’s struggles to score away support a clean sheet for the hosts.

Kickoff has passed — voting is closed. Final crowd split below.

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This prediction is solely subjective and cannot be considered as true or reliable information.