16 April 2026
City Ground, Nottingham, UEFA Europa League
Nottingham Forest vs FC Porto | Prediction & Lineups |
Match Preview
Nottingham Forest and FC Porto meet with the UEFA Europa League quarter-final tie finely poised after a 1-1 draw in the first leg. Porto scored early through William Gomes but conceded via an own goal, highlighting defensive fragility. Forest’s away resilience is notable, having secured a valuable away goal despite being under sustained pressure.
Forest have scored 9 goals in their last 4 matches across competitions, showing offensive sharpness, particularly through Morgan Gibbs-White, their key creator this season. Their home form remains solid but they have conceded 6 goals in the last 5 home matches, pointing to some defensive vulnerabilities. Ryan Yates is expected to marshal midfield, though possible lineup tweaks due to injury could affect cohesion.
Porto lead Liga Portugal and have maintained consistent offensive output, averaging 1.8 goals per game at home this season. However, their defense has conceded 5 goals in the last 4 away fixtures, a concern given Forest’s counter-attacking threat. Porto’s need to overturn the tie means they might push aggressively, risking exposure. Overall, Nottingham Forest hold a slight edge due to their away goal and recent scoring form, but Porto’s home dominance and league status keep this finely balanced.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | WWDLW | 9 | 6 |
| FC Porto | WDWLW | 8 | 5 |
Nottingham Forest’s recent form shows attacking consistency but defensive lapses at home could be exploited by Porto’s fluid offense. Porto’s strong home scoring contrasts with their occasional defensive frailty on the road, which Forest may look to capitalize on.
Fc PortoDNottingham ForestWBetting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds reflect a tight contest with a slight lean towards Nottingham Forest at home, but Porto’s quality and need to overturn the tie keep the market balanced.
Our Prediction
Nottingham Forest hold a slight edge due to away goal and scoring form, but Porto’s home dominance and attack keep this a balanced tie likely to see goals and a narrow margin.
Best Bet
- Nottingham Forest Double Chance (1X) (≈1.65) — Forest’s away goal and recent scoring form provide a cushion, plus Porto’s defensive lapses make a home loss less likely.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.90) — Both sides have shown offensive output recently and defensive weaknesses suggest both will find the net.
- Over 1.5 total goals (≈1.50) — The first leg’s 1-1 draw and respective attacking records point to at least two goals in this match.
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This prediction is solely subjective and cannot be considered as true or reliable information.