19 April 2026
City Ground, Nottingham, Premier League


Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Prediction | 62% Home Win ·
Match Preview
Nottingham Forest and Burnley meet on April 19, 2026, in a Premier League fixture with survival implications. Forest sit four points above the relegation zone, having picked up 5 points from their last 5 games (W1-D2-L2). At home, Forest have scored 9 goals in their last 6 matches but conceded 11, showing defensive vulnerability. Brennan remains their top scorer this season with 11 league goals, crucial to their attacking output.
Burnley, meanwhile, have struggled on the road, managing just one clean sheet in their last 7 away games and conceding 14 goals in those fixtures. Their form is patchy, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, leaving them just a point behind Forest. Defensive injuries have hampered their stability, though their attack has managed 7 goals in the same period.
Head-to-head trends show a tight affair, but Forest’s home scoring edge and Burnley’s leaky away defence give the hosts a slight advantage. However, Burnley’s resilience and narrow points gap mean this could be a low-scoring, tight contest. Nottingham Forest have the edge, primarily due to home form and Brennan’s goal threat.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | WDDLL | 6 | 8 |
| Burnley | WWDLL | 7 | 9 |
Forest’s recent home goal output contrasts with their leaky defense, conceding more than 1.5 goals per game in the last 5. Burnley’s away form is inconsistent, with defensive lapses a recurring problem.
Both teams have shown resilience, but the home side’s ability to find the net regularly gives them a slight edge in this matchup.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
Odds reflect a balanced contest with a slight lean towards Forest due to home advantage and Burnley’s defensive struggles away from home.
Our Prediction
Nottingham Forest’s home scoring edge and Brennan’s influence give them a slight advantage over defensively vulnerable Burnley, projecting a narrow home win with goals at both ends.
Best Bet
- Home & Over 1.5 goals (≈2.10) — Forest’s home scoring form and Burnley’s leaky away defense support a home win with at least two goals scored in total.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.75) — Both sides have scored consistently recently, and defensive weaknesses hint at goals at both ends.
- Away Over 0.5 goals (≈2.50) — Burnley have found the net in most away games despite defensive issues, making this a reasonable value bet.
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Bet Strategy
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