12 April 2026
Allianz Riviera, Nice, Ligue 1


Nice vs Le Havre | Prediction & 52% Win Chance | Lineups
Match Preview
Nice and Le Havre face off at Allianz Riviera with both sides struggling to regain form. Nice have failed to win in their last three home matches, including a 3-1 loss to Strasbourg, conceding 9 goals in their last 4 overall. They sit precariously close to the relegation zone, just four points above the drop, making home points vital.
Le Havre’s away form is even more concerning. They are without a win in 12 of their last 15 away Ligue 1 games and have managed only one clean sheet in their last seven road fixtures. Their recent 1-1 draw at Auxerre did little to improve their position near the bottom, trailing safety by a slim margin.
Key player Elye Wahi remains a focal point for Nice’s attack, providing a rare spark in a side that averages just under 1 goal per game at home. Defensively, Le Havre’s vulnerability on the road is a glaring weakness, conceding frequently and struggling to close out matches.
The edge goes to Nice, favored at around 52% win probability, due to home advantage and slightly better overall form. However, Le Havre’s stubborn defensive displays and recent draw suggest this could be a tight encounter with goal-scoring chances on both sides.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | LDLDW | 5 | 9 |
| Le Havre | DLDLL | 3 | 7 |
Nice’s recent matches show a slight improvement in attack but defensive frailties remain a concern, with 9 goals conceded in five games. Le Havre’s inability to secure wins on the road is stark, with just 3 goals scored in their last five matches indicating offensive struggles.
Both teams face pressure near the relegation zone, but Nice’s home advantage and marginally better scoring output suggest they have a slight upper hand.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
Nice is the favorite at 1.85, reflecting their home edge. The draw at 3.40 offers moderate value given Le Havre’s resilience, while the away win at 4.20 represents a higher-risk, higher-reward option.
Our Prediction
Nice holds a moderate edge due to home form and attacking potential, but Le Havre’s defensive resilience and recent draw keep this tight and goals likely, favoring a home win with both teams scoring.
Best Bet
- Home & Over 1.5 goals (≈1.95) — Nice’s home attack is more potent than Le Havre’s away defense, making a home win with multiple goals likely.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.80) — Defensive issues on both sides suggest goals at each end despite Le Havre’s away struggles.
- Draw No Bet: Home (≈1.50) — Covers Nice in case of a narrow draw, balancing their recent home struggles with Le Havre’s poor away form.
Kickoff has passed — voting is closed. Final crowd split below.
Bet Strategy
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