24 April 2026
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples, Serie A


Napoli vs Cremonese Prediction | 75% Win Chance · Lineups
Match Preview
Napoli hosts Cremonese on April 24, 2026, in a Serie A fixture where the hosts hold a clear advantage. Napoli sits comfortably in the upper tier of the table, maintaining a solid points buffer above the relegation zone and in contention for European spots. Their recent form shows consistency with four wins and one draw in the last five league matches, including narrow 1-0 victories over AC Milan and Cagliari. Forward Osimhen continues to lead Napoli’s attack, contributing significantly to their goal tally.
At home, Napoli averages 1.8 goals per game and boasts a strong defensive record, conceding just 6 goals in their last 10 home fixtures. Cremonese, by contrast, struggles on the road and has conceded 9 goals in their last 4 away matches. Their attack is blunt, managing fewer than 0.8 goals per game this season, and they have yet to find consistency in front of goal.
Cremonese’s defensive frailties and poor scoring record away provide Napoli with a clear edge. Given Napoli’s home form and Osimhen’s impact upfront, the hosts are strongly favored. The probability of a Napoli win is around 75%, reflecting their control in both attack and defense against a low-scoring opponent.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | W W D W W | 7 | 2 |
| Cremonese | L L L D L | 2 | 10 |
Napoli’s recent form highlights a tight defense and efficient scoring, especially at home. Their ability to secure wins by narrow margins suggests tactical discipline.
Cremonese’s form is poor, with four losses in five. Their defensive record is particularly concerning, conceding an average of over two goals per game in recent outings.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
Napoli’s short odds reflect their dominance and home advantage; value lies in markets that consider Cremonese’s defensive weaknesses and Napoli’s scoring efficiency.
Our Prediction
Napoli favored with a 75% win probability due to superior home form, Osimhen’s scoring threat, and Cremonese’s defensive struggles and low goal output away.
Best Bet
- Home & Over 1.5 goals (≈1.70) — Napoli’s recent home matches show a strong likelihood of scoring multiple goals, combined with Cremonese’s defensive vulnerabilities increasing total goals.
- Both teams to score: No (≈1.85) — Napoli’s disciplined defense and Cremonese’s low scoring rate suggest the away side will fail to score in this fixture.
- Home win & Clean sheet (≈3.50) — Napoli’s defensive solidity at home and Cremonese’s poor attacking form align with a shutout victory for the hosts.
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