25 April 2026
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon, Ligue 1


Lyon vs Auxerre Prediction | 62% Win Chance · Lineups
Match Preview
Lyon hosts Auxerre at Groupama Stadium on April 25, aiming to maintain their unbeaten home record against this opponent, boasting three wins and one draw in the last four meetings. Lyon’s recent form is mixed with two wins, two draws, and two defeats, scoring and conceding under one goal per game on average (around 0.9 goals scored and conceded per match). Their defense has shown vulnerability, conceding goals at a similar rate to their scoring output.
Auxerre arrives with an identical recent form pattern: two wins, two draws, and two losses, also averaging below one goal scored and conceded per game. Their away record is decent but less convincing against top-half sides. Notably, Lyon’s attack is spearheaded by Endrick, who remains a key threat in breaking down defenses, supported by a midfield including Mangala and Morton.
Auxerre’s defense has struggled to keep clean sheets on the road, with only one in their last seven away fixtures. This defensive fragility could be exploited by Lyon’s home advantage and attacking talents. Given Lyon’s slightly superior home dominance and Auxerre’s away defensive lapses, the edge goes to Lyon, though a tight scoreline is expected.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | WDLWD | 5 | 4 |
| Auxerre | DWLDW | 4 | 5 |
Lyon’s form shows a slight edge in consistency at home, with two wins and no losses in the last five matches. Their goals for and against numbers suggest tight games. Auxerre’s recent results reveal some resilience but also defensive lapses, especially away.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
Value lies in cautious backing of Lyon, given their home superiority and Auxerre’s defensive struggles on the road.
Our Prediction
Lyon’s home dominance and Endrick’s attack give them a narrow edge over Auxerre, whose away defensive weakness suggests both teams will score in a tight 2-1 home win scenario.
Best Bet
- Home & Over 1.5 (≈1.85) — Lyon’s home record against Auxerre and Endrick’s attacking threat make a home win with at least two goals a realistic outcome.
- Both teams to score Yes (≈1.90) — Both sides concede at roughly 0.8 goals per game recently, and Auxerre’s away defense has been breached regularly, supporting both teams scoring.
- Draw No Bet Home (≈1.55) — Lyon’s home unbeaten streak versus Auxerre and slightly stronger form provide a safety net if the match ends tied.
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Bet Strategy
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