14 April 2026
Anfield, Liverpool, UEFA Champions League


Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain | Prediction & Lineups |
Match Preview
Liverpool host Paris Saint Germain at Anfield in the UEFA Champions League quarter-final on April 14, 2026. Liverpool arrive with strong domestic form, unbeaten in their last five matches (W3 D2), scoring 9 goals and conceding 4 in that span. Their home record remains solid, with 7 goals scored and only 3 conceded in their last 4 Champions League home games. However, they have shown some defensive vulnerabilities, notably conceding 9 goals in their last 4 away fixtures across all competitions.
Paris Saint Germain come into the match with a slightly mixed run of form, winning 2, drawing 1, and losing 2 in their last five outings. PSG have averaged 1.8 goals per game in the Champions League this season but have struggled defensively, conceding 6 goals in their last 4 away fixtures. Kylian Mbappé remains their key attacking threat, with 8 Champions League goals this campaign, but the team’s defensive inconsistencies could be exposed on the road.
The home advantage at Anfield, combined with Liverpool’s recent scoring trend and PSG’s away defensive lapses, gives Liverpool a measurable edge. PSG’s midfield creativity and Mbappé’s pace remain threats, but Liverpool’s sharper form and Anfield fortress status tilt the balance. Expect a competitive but narrow outcome, with Liverpool favored roughly 55% to 45% on a data basis.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | W W D D W | 9 | 4 |
| Paris Saint Germain | W D W L L | 7 | 8 |
Liverpool’s recent form shows a steady scoring rhythm and better defensive discipline compared to PSG’s last five, which include two losses. PSG’s defensive frailties, especially away, remain a concern heading into this match.
The French side’s inconsistency contrasts with Liverpool’s more balanced approach, suggesting the hosts can control the tempo and exploit PSG’s defensive gaps.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
Value lies in backing Liverpool’s home win given their form and PSG’s away defensive record, though PSG’s attacking threat keeps the odds competitive.
Our Prediction
Liverpool’s home scoring form and PSG’s away defensive leaks give the hosts a slight edge in a likely close game with goals at both ends.
Best Bet
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.85) — Liverpool’s tendency to concede at home combined with PSG’s attacking firepower, especially Mbappé, suggests goals at both ends.
- Home win & Under 3.5 goals (≈2.20) — Liverpool’s compact defense and PSG’s away vulnerabilities point to a Liverpool win without an overly high-scoring game.
- Paris Saint Germain Over 0.5 goals (≈1.50) — PSG’s attacking consistency in Europe, with 1.8 goals per game, makes at least one goal probable despite defensive issues.
Bet Strategy
Use our System Bet Calculator to calculate optimal betting combinations for this match.
Open System Bet Calculator →This prediction is solely subjective and cannot be considered as true or reliable information.

