23 April 2026
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia, La Liga


Levante vs Sevilla Prediction | Best Bet & Lineups | Crowd
Match Preview
Levante sit 19th in La Liga with 29 points, four adrift of safety, making this fixture vital to their survival hopes. Their recent form shows some improvement under Luis Castro, with 5 points from the last 4 games, but defensive frailties persist—they have conceded 9 goals in that span. Home form has been a relative bright spot, with Levante scoring 7 goals in their last 5 home matches, indicating they can capitalize at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.
Sevilla are 16th with 34 points, aiming to distance themselves from the relegation zone. Their away record is poor, with just one clean sheet in their last 7 league away games and a defensive injury crisis including the absence of Marcao and Azpilicueta. Attacking output is inconsistent, managing only 0.8 goals per game on the road recently.
Levante face notable absences too: Roger Brugue (ligament) and Unai Elgezabal (muscle) are doubts, which could weaken their defensive stability further. Recent meetings slightly favor Sevilla, but Levante’s home resilience and Sevilla’s defensive issues tilt the edge to the hosts. Levante’s home advantage and urgent need for points give them a narrow 52% implied win probability.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | LWDWD | 7 | 9 |
| Sevilla | LDLWD | 3 | 7 |
Levante’s recent home goal tally contrasts with Sevilla’s struggles to score away, highlighting a potential attacking edge for the hosts. However, both sides show defensive vulnerabilities, particularly Sevilla’s leaky away defense and Levante’s injury-hit backline.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
Value lies in Levante’s home win at 2.40 given their urgent form boost and Sevilla’s defensive absences, but the odds also reflect the unpredictability of this low-table matchup.
Our Prediction
Levante’s home attacking form and Sevilla’s defensive absences tilt the match towards a home win or draw with goals expected at both ends; a low-odds double chance and goal markets suit this matchup.
Best Bet
- Double chance: Home win or draw (1X) (≈1.50) — Levante’s improved home form and Sevilla’s defensive injuries make this a safer option, reducing risk while backing the hosts’ edge.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈2.10) — Both sides have conceded regularly and scored enough at home and away respectively, suggesting goals at both ends despite defensive issues.
- Over 1.5 total goals (≈1.80) — Recent matches for both teams have seen multiple goals, and attacking impetus from Levante at home combined with Sevilla’s defensive gaps support this moderate over bet.
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Bet Strategy
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