Lens vs Toulouse Prediction | 62% Home Win Chance · Injuries

Match Preview

Lens sits comfortably in Ligue 1 with a 19-2-7 record, accumulating 59 points, well clear of relegation and pushing for European qualification. Their home form is solid, averaging 1.8 goals per game at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. However, defensive absences loom large with Jonathan Gradit sidelined due to a lower leg fracture, alongside Régis Gurtner and Amadou Haidara, potentially weakening their backline.

Toulouse, on the other hand, hold a 10-7-11 record with 37 points, flirting with the lower mid-table zone. Their away record is less convincing: only one clean sheet in their last seven road games and conceding at a rate of 1.7 goals per match away from home. Top scorer Yann Gboho has netted 8 goals but is missing key players like Frank Magri and Charlie Cresswell, which could blunt their offensive potency and defensive stability.

Lens has scored 9 goals in their last 4 league matches but conceded 5 in the same span, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities. Toulouse’s inconsistency on the road and injury woes put them at a disadvantage. Lens’s offensive depth with Edouard (12 goals, 3 assists) provides a clear edge. Given the absences and home advantage, Lens holds a 65% implied win probability heading into this fixture.

Team Form

Lens’s recent form is strong, with four wins in their last six league matches, showing offensive consistency. Toulouse’s patchy results and defensive fragility continue to hamper their ability to secure points, especially away from home.