16 April 2026
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, UEFA Europa Conference League


Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace | Prediction & Lineups | 62%
Match Preview
Fiorentina and Crystal Palace meet in the UEFA Europa Conference League quarter-final with both sides carrying mixed recent form into this decisive fixture. Fiorentina have scored 9 goals in their last 4 matches but conceded 7, highlighting a potent attack offset by a vulnerable defense. Their home form in Europe remains solid, winning 3 of their last 4 at the Artemio Franchi, conceding just 1 goal in those games.
Crystal Palace arrive with inconsistency on the road, managing only one clean sheet in their last 7 away fixtures across all competitions. Their recent run reads W-D-L-D-L, with 6 goals scored but 9 conceded in the last 5 matches. Key forward Eze is expected to return, boosting Palace’s creativity, though defensive frailties away from Selhurst Park remain a concern.
Fiorentina’s defensive lapses and Palace’s away defensive record set up a contest likely to see goals. Fiorentina’s home edge and attacking rhythm give them a slight advantage, but Palace’s ability to score on the counter keeps this tight. Fiorentina hold the edge at around 55% win probability due to home strength and goal-scoring form, while Palace’s defensive instability away limits their chances.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | W W W L D | 12 | 9 |
| Crystal Palace | L D L W D | 6 | 9 |
Fiorentina’s last five results show a strong attacking trend but defensive vulnerabilities persist. Palace’s recent form is patchy, with only one win in their last five and defensive issues on the road.
The return of Eze for Palace adds attacking impetus, but their away defensive record remains a major concern against a Fiorentina side that scores at 2.4 goals per game in recent outings.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
Fiorentina are favored but odds suggest a competitive match, with value in Palace’s ability to score and a potential tight scoreline.
Our Prediction
Fiorentina’s potent home attack and Palace’s poor away defense favor a Fiorentina win with goals at both ends; expect a close 2-1 result with value in home over 1.5 goals and both teams scoring.
Best Bet
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.85) — Fiorentina’s defensive lapses and Palace’s improved attacking potential with Eze’s return make goals at both ends likely.
- Home Over 1.5 goals (≈2.10) — Fiorentina have netted 9 goals in their last 4 matches and will exploit Palace’s leaky away defense.
- Draw No Bet: Fiorentina (≈1.60) — Fiorentina’s home form and scoring rate give them a safer option, minimizing risk if Palace manage a late equalizer.
Bet Strategy
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