Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma Prediction & Lineups | Win Chance %

Match Preview

Fenerbahçe host AS Roma in their opening UEFA Champions League group stage fixture on 10 September 2026. The Turkish side enters on a solid domestic run with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 4 league matches, scoring 9 goals but conceding 5, showing attacking strength yet some defensive vulnerability. At home, Fenerbahçe have been formidable, boasting a 75% win rate in their last 8 European fixtures at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, though they have conceded in 6 of those matches.

Roma come into this match with a ruthless streak, having won 4 of their last 5 games in Serie A and Champions League qualifiers, scoring 11 goals and conceding only 3. Their away form, however, is less impressive: just one clean sheet in their last 7 Champions League away matches. Roma’s top scorer, striker Pellegrini, has netted 6 goals in the last 7 games, highlighting their attacking threat.

Defensively, Fenerbahçe’s recent concession rate of 1.25 goals per game is a concern against Roma’s clinical offense. Roma’s away defensive record suggests vulnerability, but their efficient attack and Pellegrini’s form give them the edge. The match leans slightly toward Roma given their recent scoring efficiency and Fenerbahçe’s defensive lapses, but home advantage keeps this tightly poised. Expect a competitive, closely fought game with slim margins.

Team Form

Fenerbahçe’s home form remains their strongest suit, with most goals coming in home games. Their defense, however, has leaked goals even against mid-tier opposition. Roma’s overall form is more consistent, but their single recent away clean sheet in Europe hints at potential defensive frailty when traveling.