12 April 2026
Selhurst Park, London, Premier League


Crystal Palace vs Newcastle | Prediction & Best Bet | 62%
Match Preview
Crystal Palace host Newcastle at Selhurst Park aiming for a third straight Premier League win. Palace have collected 7 points from their last 4 games, scoring 9 goals and conceding 6 in that span. Their home form remains solid, with 12 points from 8 matches, averaging 1.5 goals per game on home turf.
Newcastle arrive with mixed recent results, earning 5 points from 4 away fixtures but struggling defensively, conceding 9 goals on the road in that period. Their away record is inconsistent, and they have managed only one clean sheet in their last 7 away matches. Callum Wilson remains a key attacking outlet for Newcastle, though his goal returns have dipped slightly this season.
The defensive vulnerabilities of Newcastle on the road contrast with Palace’s sharper home performances. Both sides have shown inconsistency, but Palace’s recent momentum and Selhurst Park advantage give them the edge. Expect a competitive match, though Palace’s form and home stats suggest a 52% implied chance of victory over Newcastle’s 30%.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | WDWLW | 9 | 6 |
| Newcastle | LWDWL | 7 | 9 |
Crystal Palace have been more consistent at home, with their three wins in the last five including two on home soil. Newcastle’s away form lacks stability, with defensive frailties evident in conceding 9 goals over their last four away matches.
Palace’s ability to convert chances at Selhurst Park, combined with Newcastle’s vulnerability on the road, suggests the hosts have the momentum edge going into this fixture.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
Value lies in backing Crystal Palace at 2.25 given their home form and Newcastle’s shaky away defense, while the draw at 3.40 offers a decent middle ground for cautious bettors.
Our Prediction
Crystal Palace hold a home advantage with better recent form and attacking output, while Newcastle’s defensive weaknesses on the road make a Palace win with both teams scoring the most likely outcome.
Best Bet
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.85) — Both sides have scored in 4 of their last 5 meetings, and Newcastle’s defensive struggles on the road make a clean sheet unlikely.
- Crystal Palace win (≈2.25) — Palace’s home form and recent points trend suggest they have the edge over an inconsistent Newcastle side away from home.
- Over 1.5 total goals (≈1.60) — With Palace averaging 1.5 goals per home game and Newcastle conceding frequently away, expect at least two goals in this fixture.
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Bet Strategy
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