19 April 2026
Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona, Serie A


Cremonese vs Torino | Prediction & Odds | Under 2.5 Goals
Match Preview
Cremonese host Torino on April 19, 2026, in a Serie A fixture where mid-table stability meets a fight for incremental progress. Cremonese are four points above the relegation zone, having collected 14 points in their last 10 matches, but their home form is patchy, with only 9 goals scored in 12 games at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Forward Moretti remains their key attacking outlet with 7 league goals this season, yet the team has conceded 18 goals at home, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Torino sit six points clear of the relegation scrap and have been more consistent away, averaging 1.2 points per road game. Their recent run is mixed: W-D-L-W-D in the last five, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Midfielder Rinaldi is a creative fulcrum, but Torino’s defense has leaked 9 goals in their last 4 away fixtures, a concerning trend for their backline stability.
Defensively, Cremonese’s home concession rate (1.5 goals per game) and Torino’s leaky away defense set the stage for an open contest. Torino’s slightly superior form and goal output give them a narrow edge, but Cremonese’s home advantage and Moretti’s form keep this close. Expect a tight game with limited margin for error; Torino’s away defensive frailty could be decisive.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese | WDLLW | 7 | 9 |
| Torino | WDLWD | 8 | 7 |
Cremonese’s recent form is inconsistent, with defensive lapses undermining their home efforts despite Moretti’s contributions. Torino’s away form is steadier but still vulnerable at the back, which could make this a low-margin game.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.55 |
Odds reflect a balanced contest with a slight tilt toward Torino’s away resilience; value exists in defensive and low-scoring markets.
Our Prediction
Torino’s away defensive flaws and Cremonese’s home attacking edge favor a tight, low-scoring game with a slight lean to Cremonese avoiding defeat; under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring are key angles.
Best Bet
- Under 2.5 goals (≈1.55) — Both sides have conceded regularly but also lack consistent attacking firepower recently, making a low-scoring game the safest expectation.
- Cremonese Draw No Bet (≈2.10) — Moretti’s influence and home advantage offset Torino’s slightly better form, providing cover if the hosts avoid defeat.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈2.45) — Defensive lapses on both sides and a tendency to concede at least once recently suggest both teams will find the net.
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