Casa Pia vs Santa Clara | Prediction & 55% Away Win Chance

Match Preview

Casa Pia hosts Santa Clara at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior on April 18, 2026, in a Primeira Liga fixture with relegation implications. Casa Pia sits 16th with 25 points, four points adrift of safety, and has failed to win in five matches, including a 1-1 draw against Benfica. Their defensive frailties are evident, having conceded 9 goals in their last 4 games, highlighting a leaky backline under pressure.

Santa Clara, positioned 13th with 28 points, holds a slight cushion above the drop zone. They have won three of their last five matches, including a high-scoring 4-2 loss to Sporting CP, demonstrating a more potent attack. Forward Rodrigues continues to be their key threat, contributing significantly to their scoring tally this season.

Casa Pia’s home form is underwhelming, with just one clean sheet in their last seven home matches. Santa Clara’s away record is more stable, with 3 wins in their last 5 road games. Given Casa Pia’s defensive struggles and Santa Clara’s recent better form and sharper attack, the edge goes to Santa Clara, although a tight result is likely.

Team Form

Casa Pia’s recent form reflects their offensive struggles, managing only 4 goals in five matches and conceding heavily. Santa Clara’s attack is more productive, averaging 2 goals per game in recent outings despite a defensive lapse against Sporting CP.

The home side’s inability to secure wins, even against stronger opponents like Benfica, contrasts with Santa Clara’s more consistent point accumulation on the road.