Primeira Liga
Sat, 18 Apr 2026
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara | Prediction & 55% Away Win Chance
Casa Pia0%Santa Clara0%Match Preview
Casa Pia hosts Santa Clara at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior on April 18, 2026, in a Primeira Liga fixture with relegation implications. Casa Pia sits 16th with 25 points, four points adrift of safety, and has failed to win in five matches, including a 1-1 draw against Benfica. Their defensive frailties are evident, having conceded 9 goals in their last 4 games, highlighting a leaky backline under pressure.
Santa Clara, positioned 13th with 28 points, holds a slight cushion above the drop zone. They have won three of their last five matches, including a high-scoring 4-2 loss to Sporting CP, demonstrating a more potent attack. Forward Rodrigues continues to be their key threat, contributing significantly to their scoring tally this season.
Casa Pia’s home form is underwhelming, with just one clean sheet in their last seven home matches. Santa Clara’s away record is more stable, with 3 wins in their last 5 road games. Given Casa Pia’s defensive struggles and Santa Clara’s recent better form and sharper attack, the edge goes to Santa Clara, although a tight result is likely.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | DLLDL | 4 | 9 |
| Santa Clara | WWLWD | 10 | 8 |
Casa Pia’s recent form reflects their offensive struggles, managing only 4 goals in five matches and conceding heavily. Santa Clara’s attack is more productive, averaging 2 goals per game in recent outings despite a defensive lapse against Sporting CP.
The home side’s inability to secure wins, even against stronger opponents like Benfica, contrasts with Santa Clara’s more consistent point accumulation on the road.
Santa ClaraWSanta ClaraWCasa PiaLCasa PiaWSanta ClaraDSanta ClaraLBetting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
Odds suggest a marginal away advantage, reflecting Santa Clara’s better recent form and Casa Pia’s defensive issues, though the draw remains a realistic outcome at fair value.
Our Prediction
Santa Clara holds a slight edge due to superior recent form and Casa Pia’s defensive issues, favoring an away win or draw with goals from both teams likely.
Best Bet
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.95) — Both sides have shown defensive fragility recently, and Santa Clara’s attack is in form, making goals from both teams likely.
- Double chance: Away win or draw (X2) (≈1.60) — Santa Clara’s better recent form and Casa Pia’s winless streak give the visitors a strong safety net.
- Over 1.5 total goals (≈1.85) — With Casa Pia conceding 9 goals in the last 4 and Santa Clara averaging 2 goals in recent matches, expect at least two goals scored.
Kickoff has passed — voting is closed. Final crowd split below.
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This prediction is solely subjective and cannot be considered as true or reliable information.