Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction | 62% Home Win Chance ·

Match Preview

Brighton hosts Chelsea at the Amex Stadium on April 21, 2026, with both sides vying for European qualification. Brighton currently sits just outside the top six, four points clear of the relegation zone, and have claimed 13 points from their last five matches, winning four and drawing one. Their strong home form includes an average of 1.8 goals scored per game at Amex this season.

Chelsea, meanwhile, are struggling. The Blues have lost three of their last five fixtures, managing just four goals while conceding nine. Their away form is particularly weak, with only one clean sheet in seven Premier League road games. Injuries have hit the squad hard, hampering key players like their top scorer Sterling, who is doubtful for this match.

Brighton’s defense has been solid, conceding only five times in their last five home matches, while Chelsea’s attack has lacked sharpness on the road. Given Chelsea’s injury issues and Brighton’s current momentum, the hosts hold a clear edge. Brighton’s consistency and home advantage make them roughly 55% favorites to take the three points.

Team Form

Brighton’s recent scoring rate is nearly triple Chelsea’s, highlighting the visitors’ offensive struggles. The home side’s defensive stability contrasts sharply with Chelsea’s leaky backline, especially on the road.