11 April 2026
New Balance Arena, Bergamo, Serie A


Atalanta vs Juventus Prediction | Serie A Odds & Lineups
Match Preview
Atalanta and Juventus meet with strong European ambitions but neither inside the top four yet, with just seven Serie A rounds left. Atalanta boasts an impressive 70% win rate over their last 10 matches, scoring 9 goals in their last 4 games. Their home form remains solid, though they have conceded 6 goals in their last 4 matches, showing some defensive vulnerability.
Juventus have a 50% win rate in the same period but struggle away from home, managing only one clean sheet in their last seven away fixtures. Their attack, led by striker Morata, has been less prolific, averaging around 0.8 goals per game on the road. The Bianconeri sit just outside the top four as well, making this a high-stakes opportunity to close the gap.
Data on win probabilities varies: some sources give Atalanta a slight edge with 42% versus Juventus’s 32%, while others see Juventus as favorites with a 41% chance. Juventus’ away defensive issues versus Atalanta’s strong recent scoring tilt the edge slightly towards the hosts, but this is a balanced contest. Atalanta’s home firepower and Juventus’ away frailties give Atalanta the narrow advantage.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | WWDWL | 12 | 6 |
| Juventus | WLDWL | 8 | 7 |
Atalanta’s recent form is more consistent, especially offensively, scoring 12 goals in their last five compared to Juventus’ 8. Juventus’ inconsistency is reflected in their alternating results and defensive lapses away from home, which Atalanta can exploit.
Betting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
Odds reflect a closely matched game with slight lean towards Atalanta. Value lies in spotting Juventus’ away defensive issues and Atalanta’s scoring prowess.
Our Prediction
Atalanta’s superior home scoring and Juventus’ away defensive frailty give the hosts a slight edge in a balanced game likely to feature goals at both ends.
Best Bet
- Home Double Chance (1X) (≈1.55) — Atalanta’s strong home form and Juventus’ shaky away defense make this a safer option; hosts unlikely to lose.
- Both teams to score — Yes (≈2.10) — Both sides have potent attacks and defensive gaps, so goals at both ends are probable.
- Over 1.5 total goals (≈1.80) — With Atalanta’s recent scoring and Juventus’ need to respond, expect at least two goals in the match.
Kickoff has passed — voting is closed. Final crowd split below.
Bet Strategy
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