Serie A
So., 26. Apr. 2026
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
AC Milan vs Juventus Prediction | 45% Win Chance | Lineups
AC Milan0%Juventus0%Match Preview
AC Milan hosts Juventus on April 26, 2026, with both sides eyeing a top-two finish in Serie A. Milan currently sits four points behind second place, holding a strong home record with 12 goals scored in their last five home matches. Their recent form includes three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five league games, showing consistent attacking output led by forward Leão, who has netted 11 league goals this season.
Juventus arrives with a mixed recent run: two wins, two draws, and one loss over their last five away fixtures. The Bianconeri have struggled defensively on the road, conceding nine goals in their last four away matches. Midfielder Locatelli remains a key creative outlet, but Juventus’ defensive lapses could be exploited by Milan’s sharp attack. Juventus currently trails Milan by two points, intensifying the stakes for European qualification.
Injuries appear minimal on both sides, but Juventus’ away defensive vulnerability stands out. Milan’s home scoring rate and Juventus’ leaky away defense give the hosts a slight edge. Expect a competitive game, but Milan’s sharper offensive numbers and home advantage tilt the probabilities in their favor, with an implied win chance near 45% compared to Juventus’ 35%.
Team Form
| Team | Last 5 | Goals For | Goals Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | W W D L W | 10 | 5 |
| Juventus | W D L D W | 7 | 9 |
Milan’s recent scoring form at home is stronger than Juventus’ away efforts, with 10 goals in five games compared to Juventus’ 7. Milan’s defense is tighter, conceding only five goals in the same period against Juventus’ nine away.
Juventus’ inconsistency on the road and defensive issues are the main concerns, while Milan’s sporadic slip-ups prevent a clear dominance.
JuventusUJuventusSJuventusNAc MilanUJuventusUAc MilanNBetting Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
Value appears on Milan to win given their home scoring edge and Juventus’ defensive frailties away. The draw odds also offer a reasonable hedge considering Juventus’ resilience.
Unsere Prognose
Milan’s home scoring strength and Juventus’ leaky defense give the hosts a 45% edge, favoring a narrow Milan win with goals from both sides likely.
Best Bet
- Home & Over 1.5 goals (≈2.10) — Milan’s strong home attack combined with Juventus’ defensive struggles suggests a Milan win with at least two goals scored in the match.
- Both teams to score: Yes (≈1.85) — Juventus’ ability to find the net away and Milan’s occasional defensive lapses make both teams scoring likely.
- Away Over 0.5 goals (≈2.50) — Juventus has scored in 4 of their last 5 Serie A away games; expect them to break Milan’s defense at least once.
Anstoß ist vorbei — Abstimmung geschlossen. Endgültige Verteilung unten.
AC Milan0% (0)Juventus0% (0)Wettstrategie
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Diese Prognose ist rein subjektiv und keine verlässliche Information.