Venezia vs Fiorentina | Serie A Prediction & 48% Win Chance

Match Preview

Venezia and Fiorentina meet on 11 September 2026, both still searching for their first Serie A points and goals of the season. Venezia enter with a 1-1-3 record over their last five games in all competitions but remain without a goal in Serie A after conceding four in two matches. Their defensive vulnerability is clear, having allowed multiple goals early on, putting pressure on key players like Aramu to spark the attack.

Fiorentina’s form is similarly underwhelming, with 1-2-2 in recent outings and a worrying tally of seven goals conceded in just two league games. Vlahović, their leading striker, has yet to find the net this campaign, highlighting a significant attacking drought. Away from home, Fiorentina’s defensive record has been porous, conceding heavily and failing to keep a clean sheet in recent away fixtures.

Venezia’s home performances have shown slight resilience compared to their away struggles, but their zero-goal output so far marks a glaring weakness. Fiorentina’s inability to convert chances and defensive lapses leave this fixture finely balanced. The edge goes to Venezia (48% win probability) due to marginally better recent results and home advantage, but expect a low-scoring, tight contest.

Team Form

Venezia’s recent win came outside of Serie A, illustrating their struggle at the top-flight level so far. Fiorentina’s two draws in the last five show some resilience but no offensive breakthrough.

Both sides have yet to score in Serie A, highlighting a shared attacking deficiency that heavily influences any betting approach.