Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna | Prediction & 44% Win Chance

Match Preview

Getafe host Deportivo La Coruna on 13 September 2026 in a La Liga fixture where league points remain vital for mid-table stability. Getafe’s recent form shows inconsistency: two wins, one loss, and a draw in their last five matches. They have scored 9 goals in their previous 6 home games but conceded 8, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Striker Molina leads their frontline with 4 goals this season, crucial for their attacking output.

Deportivo La Coruna come in with a slightly better recent record, registering two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. Away from home, they have managed just one clean sheet in their last seven matches, conceding at least once in most games. Their attack remains steady, averaging around 1.2 goals per away match, but defensive lapses persist. Midfielder Alvarez is key for creativity and set-piece threats.

Getafe’s home form has been patchy, with 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses in their last 20 home games, showing a tendency to drop points against mid-table sides. Deportivo’s away matches see only 25% going over 2.5 goals, suggesting a more cautious approach. Given Getafe’s slightly better home scoring and Molina’s form, they hold a narrow edge. Models back Getafe with a 44–46% win probability versus Deportivo’s 27–29%.

Team Form

Getafe’s recent home wins include a narrow 1-0 victory over Racing Santander, indicating they can grind out results but are not prolific defensively. Deportivo’s away form shows resilience but lacks clean sheets, conceding regularly despite scoring consistently.